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Extra resources for Accuracy of MSI testing in predicting germline mutations of MSH2 and MLH1 a case study in Bayesian m

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Allerdings sieht man an den Schwankungen der Umfrageergebnisse der verschiedenen Institute, dass zumindest bei einigen davon doch erhebliche Ungenauigkeiten bei der Vorhersage auftraten. 11 ¨ SPD CDU/CSU FDP GRUNE PDS Allensbach 35,2 38,2 11,2 7,2 4,9 TNS Emnid 37 39 8 6 5 Forsa 39 39 9 7 4 Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 38 38 8 7 4 Infratest-dimap 38 39,5 8,5 7,5 4 amtliches Endergebnis 38,5 38,5 7,4 8,6 4,0 Wie man Umfragen durchf¨uhren kann und warum genaue Prognosen h¨aufig schwierig sind, wird im Folgenden behandelt.

15 Arbeitslosenquote versus Wochenarbeitszeit in den 16 Bundesl¨andern der BRD. 0 Wochenarbeitszeit Abb. 16 Arbeitslosenquote versus Wochenarbeitszeit in den 10 alten Bundesl¨andern der BRD. Als n¨achstes wollen wir einen von der empirischen Kovarianz abgeleiteten Begriff einf¨uhren. 6) sx2 · s y2 gilt 0 ≤ (n − 1) · s y2 · 1 − 2 sx,y sx2 · s y2 . Dies wiederum impliziert, dass die sogenannte empirische Korrelation r x,y = sx,y = sx · s y 1 n−1 1 n−1 n i=1 (x i n i=1 (x i − x) ¯ 2· − x) ¯ · (yi − y¯ ) 1 n−1 n i=1 (yi − y¯ )2 im Intervall [−1, 1] liegt.

Dabei beschreibt die mittlere waagrechte Linie die Lage des Medians, die obere Kante des Rechtecks die Lage des 75%-Quantils (3. Quartil) und die untere Kante des Rechtecks die Lage des 25%Quantils (1. Quartil). Die L¨ange des Rechtecks ist gleich dem Interquartilabstand. Datenpunkte, deren Abstand nach oben bzw. nach unten vom 3. Quartil bzw. vom 1. 5 mal dem Interquartilabstand ist, werden als Ausreißer betrachtet und durch Kreise gesondert dargestellt. Bez¨uglich den restlichen Datenpunkten gibt die oberste bzw.

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Accuracy of MSI testing in predicting germline mutations of MSH2 and MLH1 a case study in Bayesian m by Chen S.

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